Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 16.421559 18.639654 21.138380 24.179918 27.806610 32.023198 37.341548
2025-08-31 13.150610 15.865377 19.178750 23.580502 29.367189 36.849518 47.484643
2025-09-07 11.384253 14.294470 18.041088 23.326988 30.776122 41.196248 57.443572
2025-09-14 9.841696 12.718715 16.569484 22.251515 30.695878 43.262574 64.393978
2025-09-21 8.628837 11.407452 15.243340 21.112609 30.226341 44.517612 70.182237
2025-09-28 7.806337 10.532637 14.403064 20.525784 30.430581 46.756762 78.027190
2025-10-05 7.953521 11.037178 15.588584 23.136019 36.089414 59.077133 107.674395
2025-10-12 7.650319 10.837364 15.678583 23.996310 38.935269 67.037493 131.449876
2025-10-19 7.050563 10.129045 14.898546 23.297485 38.874024 69.431967 143.802081
2025-10-26 6.818141 9.967644 14.969043 24.055175 41.614500 78.008142 174.035460
2025-11-02 6.407491 9.487484 14.467912 23.727873 42.187184 82.096428 194.357775
2025-11-09 6.016335 9.008918 13.926214 23.259832 42.395256 85.402754 213.898102
2025-11-16 5.684182 8.618885 13.528516 23.068180 43.264364 90.753370 243.251996
2025-11-23 5.319121 8.149482 12.955873 22.480141 43.201366 93.863680 267.318040
2025-11-30 5.042898 7.810471 12.584495 22.243143 43.878900 99.069250 302.053969
2025-12-07 4.681740 7.301913 11.867718 21.230868 42.610949 98.713698 315.403562
2025-12-14 4.342858 6.812985 11.154006 20.158085 41.055298 97.235620 323.692622
2025-12-21 4.100896 6.480837 10.708443 19.604953 40.686587 99.167152 348.566937
2025-12-28 4.255239 6.860466 11.625938 22.063385 48.285504 127.893336 530.249862
2026-01-04 4.194575 6.845837 11.783871 22.872584 51.786599 144.913904 674.562936
2026-01-11 3.976220 6.527541 11.320822 22.215301 51.144718 147.106929 727.179716
2026-01-18 3.917093 6.502390 11.440543 22.927935 54.529763 165.640796 926.755838
2026-01-25 3.758496 6.280381 11.145059 22.620144 54.872246 172.422187 1045.150210